By Michael O'Hanlon, Mike M. Mochizuki
"In describing their accomplished notion for negotiations with North Korea, O'Hanlon and Mochizuki show the strategic creativity and analytical intensity badly wanted by way of usa coverage makers facing this unusual, risky place." --Ash Carter, former Assistant Secretary of safety and Ford origin Professor of technology and overseas Affairs, John F. Kennedy college of presidency, Harvard collage IN EARLY 2002, in his fateful nation of the union deal with, President Bush defined North Korea as being a member of the "Axis of Evil." due to the fact then, the U.S. has long gone to warfare with Iraq, and the area now wonders what the way forward for Bush's preemption coverage will deliver. a few of the nation's most sensible specialists believe that North Korea is a extra coming near near chance than Saddam's Iraq was once. they've got a nuclear software, a million-man military, and missiles to installation and export. In hindrance at the Korean Peninsula, Michael O'Hanlon, a Senior Fellow at Brooking and vacationing lecturer at Princeton, and Mike Mochizuki, endowed chair in Japan-US family at G.W. collage, not just study this factor intimately but in addition supply a entire blueprint for diffusing the drawback with North Korea. Their answer is available in the shape of a "grand discount" with North Korea. Accords can be negotiated step by step, notwithstanding they should be guided via a extensive and impressive imaginative and prescient that addresses not just the nuclear factor but in addition the traditional forces at the hyper-militarized peninsula and the continued decline of the North Korean economic system.
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Additional info for Crisis on the Korean Peninsula : How to Deal With a Nuclear North Korea
Whether one views that as extortion or the desperate actions of a failing regime, the outcome has been the same. In addition to its other advantages, a broader approach would also respond to the recent suggestion of the government of South Korean President Roh that the United States offer a bold initiative to Pyongyang. -ROK alliance, Pyongyang will probably succumb to its traditional temptation to try to split apart the two allies. 45 CRISIS ON THE KOREAN PENINSULA Like other plans, our proposed grand bargain would denuclearize North Korea.
S. policy has not followed a broad vision. It has been more narrow and tactical, focusing on the crisis du jour rather than a broader game plan. Such a tactical approach was perhaps inevitable in the early Clinton years, when the administration was focused on domestic matters and experiencing difficulty in its foreign policy from Somalia to Haiti to Bosnia. As a result, it had a hard time focusing strategically on North Korea at the highest levels of government and on developing an 43 CRISIS ON THE KOREAN PENINSULA integrated approach for dealing with Pyongyang that combined incentives with threats and deterrence.
A tactical, nuclear-specific focus could also be defended as a reasonable approach in the early 1990s. Indeed, until stopped by the first Bush administration, Israel had reportedly been pursuing a deal to compensate North Korea for not selling missiles to Iran just a short time before. If it made strategic sense for a securityconscious and hard-nosed country such as Israel to consider buying out North Korea’s missile program, why did it not make sense for the United States and regional allies to buy out North Korea’s even more dangerous nuclear program—especially if the deal involved not cash but simply the replacement of dangerous energy technologies with safer ones?
Crisis on the Korean Peninsula : How to Deal With a Nuclear North Korea by Michael O'Hanlon, Mike M. Mochizuki